Fed cuts rates at the next meeting?
$1.8M 24h volEconomics
You've been invited 🎁
A friend wants you
ahead of the odds.
Predicts is a contact in your Messages app that tracks every prediction market. Ask the odds on anything, watch what you care about, and trade by text or voice. No app, no account.
Say hi and start with 1,000 free credits, on your friend.
Try now Works in iMessage, WhatsApp and Telegram. Pick your chat app up top.your friend's code:
Agent as a contact · powered by Loki
Prediction markets,
by text or voice.
Text one contact to search any prediction market, get grounded
live odds, and set alerts for new and moving markets. No app, no
account.
Auto Trade, on a
self-custody wallet only you own.
Try now Works in iMessage, WhatsApp and Telegram. Pick your chat app up top.
Protected by
ASK
"what prediction markets are trending right now?"
ASK
"show me the biggest election markets"
ASK
"any new markets about AI safety?"
ASK
"alert me if the Bitcoin market crosses 40%"
ASK
"what's moving in politics this week?"
ASK
"what's the implied probability on the game tonight?"
ASK
"alert me when a new Fed market opens"
ASK
"which markets close in the next 24 hours?"
Trending now
The busiest markets, live.
Highest 24h volume across the markets Predicts tracks. Updated continuously.
Tap a market to get caught up, or tap Yes or No to trade it by text.
Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?
$1.8M 24h volEconomics
Will a new AI model top the benchmarks this quarter?
$920k 24h volTech
Will this year be the hottest on record?
$655k 24h volClimate
Will the incumbent win the next major election?
$4.2M 24h volPolitics
Will the home team make the finals?
$780k 24h volSports
Will the flagship phone ship before year end?
$305k 24h volTech
Showing sample markets. The live board loads the moment the data service responds.
How it works
No app. No onboarding. Just a contact.
Tap the button
Messages opens with your first text already typed. Send it. That's the whole install. No app, no account.
See what's moving
“What's trending right now?” Predicts surfaces the busiest markets with live implied odds and 24h volume, then you dig into any of them.
Set it and enjoy the feed
Tell it what to watch. It keeps an eye on new and moving markets in the background and texts you the moment something changes.
What you can do
Search. Get alerted. Trade. All by text.
Discover
Find the markets that matter
Alerts
Get notified about new markets
Auto Trade
Trade by text
buy YES on the Fed cut market if it drops under 30%
Rule set ✓ It's at 62% implied right now, I'm watching it 👇
If it dips under 30% I'll text you the ticket. It executes only on your confirmation, inside your limits, on a wallet only you own.
New · Auto Trade
Auto Trade is live. On a wallet only you own.
Set a rule by text ("buy YES under 30%") and Predicts places it inside limits you set. Confirm each trade over iMessage, or auto-confirm the small ones. All on a self-custody wallet secured by Privy.
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You own this wallet
Your key is created inside Privy's secure hardware and only you can use it. Predicts never sees it and never stores it. Privy is the wallet infrastructure behind Polymarket itself and is owned by Stripe.
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Predicts can only trade
You grant a signing permission that is locked by policy to Polymarket's trading contracts, inside the limits shown on this page. It cannot send your money anywhere. Not to us, not to anyone.
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Withdrawals are yours alone
Only you can sign a withdrawal, right here on this page, to any address you choose. There is no server key that could move your funds.
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Revoke anytime
One tap removes Predicts' trading permission. Your wallet, funds, and positions stay yours, and you can log in with your email, phone, or passkey any time.
Fund it with a card, Apple Pay, Coinbase, or crypto from any chain. Gasless: no network fees to manage. See the money path
Try now Protected by
Works in iMessage, WhatsApp and Telegram. Pick your chat app up top. Before every trade
Nothing is placed until you say so.
Ask for a trade and Predicts texts you a ticket first: the exact numbers, priced at that moment, with your own guardrails already applied. Read it, then tap 👍. That tap is the trade.
Betting nearly your whole wallet? The ticket adds one more line, saying how much it kept back so the order can clear.
What's on the ticket
- The side and the market
- Which outcome, on which market, in full. Markets with named sides show the real name, not Yes or No.
- Your stake and the price
- What leaves your wallet, and the price per share in cents at the moment of the quote.
- Shares
- How many shares that stake buys. Each one pays $1 if your side is right, and nothing if it is not.
- To win, payout, and percent
- Your profit if the side resolves true, the total that lands in your wallet, and the gain on your stake.
- Max slippage
- The worst price the order may accept. If the market runs past it before the order matches, nothing is placed and Predicts tells you why.
- Your confirmation
- A 👍 or ✅ places it. Nothing happens until you send one, and the quote is good for 15 minutes before Predicts re-quotes rather than filling on stale numbers.
Checked before it even quotes
Your limits, set by you on your wallet page or by text.
- Max per trade
- The most a single buy may spend. A bigger stake is refused, not quietly trimmed.
- Daily limit
- Once the day's buys reach it, nothing else places until it resets at midnight UTC.
- Auto-confirm under
- Set it and small trades place without a ticket, and say so when they do. Anything above it always comes to you as a ticket.
- Balance check
- If your wallet cannot cover the ticket, nothing is placed and Predicts says what it needs.
- $1.50 minimum
- Below that an order can round under the exchange's own floor, so Predicts will not place it.
Auto Trade recipes
Set a standing strategy once. It runs on its own.
Describe a rule in plain language and Predicts watches on a cadence, placing small trades inside limits you set, on a self-custody wallet only you own. Change or stop it any time by text.
Underdog hunter Every hour, find a market closing soon with a heavy favorite, then back the underdog for $1.
every hour, find a market ending soon where one option is above 60%, then put $1 on the option below 40%
Underdog hunter is on ⚡ Every hour I scan for a market closing soon with a heavy favorite (an option above 60%), then back the underdog (an option under 40%) with $1.
Each $1 buy auto-confirms because it's under your limit, on your self-custody wallet, so you don't have to tap through every one. About 5 credits a check, so roughly 3,400 credits over four weeks.
Say "stop underdog hunter" any time to switch it off, or "make it every 6 hours" to slow the scan down.
- Cadence
- Every hour
- Stake
- $1 on the underdog
- Credits
- ~5 / check · ~3,400 / 4 wks
- Stop
- "stop underdog hunter"
Longshot lotto Once a day, back the longest shot in a market closing this week for $1 and let it run.
once a day, find the longest shot in a market closing this week (an option under 10%) and put $1 on it
Longshot lotto is on ⚡ Once a day I find the biggest longshot in a market closing this week (an option under 10%) and back it with $1.
Each $1 buy auto-confirms because it's under your limit, on your self-custody wallet, so you never tap through one. About 5 credits a check, so roughly 140 credits over four weeks.
Say "stop longshot lotto" any time to switch it off, or "make it twice a day" to run it more often.
- Cadence
- Once a day
- Stake
- $1 on the longshot
- Credits
- ~5 / check · ~140 / 4 wks
- Stop
- "stop longshot lotto"
Your money
In by card. Out by your signature.
Money moves on your wallet, not ours. Funding takes a card or crypto, trading costs no network fees, and a withdrawal is something only you can sign.
Put money in
Open your wallet page from the chat and tap Add funds. It takes a card, Apple Pay, or a Coinbase account, and it lands as trading balance on its own.
- Card, Apple Pay, or Coinbase
- Or send crypto: USDC on Ethereum, Base, Polygon or Solana, USDT on Tron, or BTC
- Deposits are converted for you, whichever chain they arrive on
Trade gasless
Orders are signed by your wallet and relayed for you, so there is no network fee to fund, no gas token to hold, and nothing to top up before a trade goes through.
- No gas token to buy or manage
- Your balance is what you can trade with
- Executed on Polymarket, the venue the market lives on
Take money out
Withdraw to any address you choose, from the same wallet page, any time. You sign it yourself. There is no server key that could move your funds, so a withdrawal cannot happen without you.
- You sign every withdrawal, we cannot
- Any destination address you enter
- Sends pUSD or USDC.e on Polygon
Protected by The wallet is created and secured by Privy, the wallet infrastructure behind Polymarket itself.
What it is
A prediction-market desk in your Messages app.
Grounded in live data
Every answer is pulled from real prediction-market data: implied probabilities, 24h volume, close times. No made-up numbers.
Discover what's moving
Ask what's hot, what's new, or what closes soon. Predicts surfaces the markets that matter right now, not just the one you named.
Search any market
Ask in plain language. Predicts finds the market by topic, category, or how soon it closes, and gives you the current odds.
Standing alerts
Tell it what to watch. It keeps an eye on new and moving markets in the background and texts you when something changes.
Auto Trade
Set a rule once (“buy YES under 30%”) and Predicts watches the market and places the trade when you confirm, inside limits you set, on a self-custody wallet only you own.
No app, no account to start
Search and alerts are just a contact in Messages: nothing to download, no sign-up. Auto Trade adds one step: a self-custody trading wallet you link from a text.
Examples
What you can ask.
Text it like a friend. Real asks and the grounded answer you get back, with the live card. Search, alerts, and Auto Trade are all live today.
Pricing
Start free. Pay for how often you watch.
Every new number starts with 1,000 free credits. Higher plans watch more markets, and check them more often, from once a day on Free to every few minutes on Pro. Credits never expire.
Free
$0 to start
1,000 free credits 1 standing watch ⏱ Checked once a day
- ≈ 40 quick market asks, on the house
- one market, checked daily
- no card, credits never expire
Starter
$10 /month
1,000 credits / mo 2 standing watches ⏱ Checked every 6 hours
- two markets, checked 4× a day
- plus about a dozen quick asks on top
Plus
$25 /month
2,500 credits / mo 5 standing watches ⏱ Checked hourly
- five markets, watched every hour
- or tighter alerts through a big news week
Pro
$50 /month
5,000 credits / mo 10 standing watches ⏱ As often as every 5 min
- ten markets, checked as fast as every 5 min
- need more? top up from $10, no bigger plan
A quick ask ~25 credits
“what are the odds the Fed cuts?” One grounded answer: live implied probability and 24h volume.
A standing watch ~700 credits / mo
“tell me when a new AI-safety market opens”, checked twice a day, every day.
An election night ~1,100 credits
30-minute alerts on a market as results roll in. Frequency is the dial you control.
Predicts provides information and analysis, not financial advice. Auto Trade places trades only on your explicit confirmation, inside limits you set, on a self-custody wallet only you control. Prediction markets are speculative and you can lose money.
FAQ
Straight answers.
What Predicts is, what it costs, how a trade happens, and who holds your money. Still stuck? Ask Predicts itself.
What is Predicts?
Predicts is a prediction-market agent you text like a contact. Ask what the odds are on anything and get an answer grounded in live market data, set standing alerts for new and moving markets, and place trades from the same thread. There is no app to install and no account to create.
What can I ask it?
Anything you would ask a friend who follows the markets: what is trending right now, the odds on a specific event, which markets close in the next 24 hours, what moved this week. You can also leave it standing instructions, like "tell me when a new AI-safety market opens", and it texts you when something changes. A voice memo works as well as a text.
Which markets does it cover?
A live catalog of public prediction markets sourced from Polymarket: implied probability, 24h volume, tags and close time. The trending board on this page is that same feed, and trades are executed on Polymarket itself.
Which chat apps does it work in?
iMessage, WhatsApp and Telegram, all live today. Use the chat-app picker at the top of this page and every button here opens the one you chose.
What does it cost?
Predicts is free to start. Every new number gets 1,000 credits, roughly 40 quick market asks, and credits never expire. A quick ask is about 25 credits; one market watched twice a day runs about 700 credits a month. Paid plans are Starter at $10, Plus at $25 and Pro at $50 a month, which buy more credits and more frequent checks, from once a day on Free up to every five minutes on Pro. You can also top up from $10 without moving to a bigger plan.
How does a trade actually happen?
You ask for one, or tap Yes or No on a market card, and Predicts texts you a ticket: the side, the market, your stake, the price in cents, the shares it buys, what you would win, the payout, and your maximum slippage. Nothing is placed until you confirm it with a 👍 or a ✅. The order is then signed by your own wallet and executed on Polymarket, and Predicts texts you what actually filled.
What does the agent do on its own?
Only what you switched on. A standing watch checks the markets you named on a cadence and texts you what changed. An Auto Trade rule, like "every hour, back the underdog for $1", runs the same way. A trade places itself without a ticket only when its stake is at or below the auto-confirm limit you set yourself, and it is still bounded by your per-trade and daily limits. It never moves money out of your wallet, because it cannot.
Is my money safe? Who holds it?
You do. Your wallet is created inside Privy's secure hardware when you sign in, and only you can use it. Predicts never sees your key and never stores it. Privy is the wallet infrastructure behind Polymarket itself and is owned by Stripe. The permission you grant is locked by policy to Polymarket's trading contracts, inside the limits shown on your wallet page: it cannot send your money anywhere, not to us and not to anyone. One tap revokes it, and your wallet, funds and positions stay yours.
How do I add money?
Open your wallet page from the chat and tap Add funds. You can use a card, Apple Pay or a Coinbase account, or send crypto instead: USDC on Ethereum, Base, Polygon or Solana, USDT on Tron, or BTC. Deposits are converted into trading balance for you. Trading itself is gasless, so there is no network fee to fund and no gas token to hold.
How do I get my money out?
From the same wallet page, any time. You enter a destination address and sign the withdrawal yourself. There is no server key that could move your funds, so a withdrawal cannot happen without you. It sends pUSD or USDC.e on Polygon; for another network, move it on from your own wallet.
What happens when a market I am in resolves?
Predicts texts you: the market, the outcome, and whether you came out ahead or behind, with the amount. If several resolve at once you get one digest rather than a text each. If your side won, the payout lands in your wallet on its own.
How do I stop a watch or an Auto Trade rule?
Text it. "Stop underdog hunter" switches that rule off and "make it every 6 hours" slows it down; the same works for any watch you set. To switch trading off entirely, open your wallet page and revoke Predicts' trading permission. Your wallet, funds and positions are unaffected.
Who can trade, and where?
Trades are executed on Polymarket, which applies its own access rules and may restrict them by location. You must be at least 18 (or the age of majority where you live), and you are responsible for complying with the laws and market-access rules that apply to you. See the Terms for the full eligibility conditions. Search, odds and alerts do not involve trading at all.
Is any of this financial advice?
No. Predicts surfaces public market data and generates analysis about it, for information only. It is not financial, investment, legal or tax advice, and nothing it tells you is a recommendation to buy, sell or trade anything. Market data and AI-generated analysis can be delayed, incomplete or wrong. Prediction markets are speculative and you can lose money.
Predicts provides information and analysis, not financial advice. Read the Terms and Privacy Policy.
Refer & earn
Invite a friend. Earn free credits.
Your friend starts with their own 1,000 free credits, and you stack more every time a friend joins or upgrades. Start below, then ask Predicts for your personal invite link any time.
1,000 your friend joins free
Everyone starts with 1,000 free credits when they say hi, your friend included. That's about 40 quick market asks, on the house.
+500 you, per friend who joins
Share your personal link. Every friend who texts Predicts and starts earns you 500 credits, for up to 5 friends.
+2,000 you, when a friend subscribes
When someone you invited upgrades to any paid plan, you earn another 2,000 credits on top.
Start & get your link
Text Predicts to start, then ask for your invite link any time.
Your first market is one text away.
Information and analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets are speculative; every Auto Trade order executes only on your confirmation.
Try now Works in iMessage, WhatsApp and Telegram. Pick your chat app up top.